1 · WHAT'S CHANGING?
NASA POWER · Next Planting Temporal ProfileNext Planting Window
105 d
Rainfall
412 mm
Estimated ETc
472 mm
High-Pressure Days
28
Daily Water-Pressure Indicator by Candidate Crop
Verified NASA POWER Daily Replay (Majalengka Pilot): Shows FAO-56 Penman-Monteith water pressure across the 105-day season. Notice the July rainfall relief (Days 31–36) followed by the severe August dry spell (Days 46–91, rainfall < 1.0 mm) where continuous rice faces extreme water pressure (0.97–1.00), while palawija crops (Maize & Soybean) exhibit lower vulnerability.
2 · SHIFT SPACE
Baseline ReplayFeasible Sequences
9 / 9
Constrained Sequences
0 / 9
Change vs Baseline
+0
Priority Mode
Balanced
Baseline replay · chronological environmental window
| Sequence | Status | Priority Alignment | Temporal Water Risk | Evidence Level | Validation Required |
|---|
The decision space responds to environmental stress and farm constraints. The priority dial changes alignment; it does not override hard constraints.
3 · MOVE THE DIAL
Interactive Sensitivity
Farmer Priority
50%
Practicality
Balanced
Water Resilience
Environmental Stress Test
0%
Observed Replay
Drier Climate Analogue
4 · WHY?
Audit & Decision Reversal
FEASIBLE
Binding Constraint: none
Why this state?
Loading explanation payload...
What would change the decision? A stronger environmental stress signal, a different farm constraint, or a different farmer priority could move this sequence to another state.
Decision formula — exactly as computed
risk = base_risk + stress × 0.005 · rainfed +0.15 · irrigated −0.10risk > 0.55 → CONSTRAINED · hard ceiling, same as the Python engineutility = base_utility × (1 − 0.4 × risk) × (water_w + prac_w) · water_w = 0.20 + 0.60p · prac_w = 0.60 − 0.60p · soil fixed 0.20